CBN Boosts Forex Market with $500 Million Injection

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has infused an additional $500 million into the foreign exchange market to tackle the persistent backlog of confirmed forex transactions. This revelation was made by Mrs. Hakama Sidi Ali, Acting Director of the Corporate Communications Department at the CBN, during a press briefing held in Abuja on Monday, January 29. Mrs. Sidi Ali underscored the commitment of the central bank, stating, “The Management of the CBN is resolute in clearing all legitimate foreign exchange backlogs within a short time frame.” She assured the public that the CBN is executing a comprehensive strategy designed to enhance liquidity in the Nigerian foreign exchange markets across short, medium, and long-term horizons. The strategy, as explained by Sidi Ali, is laser-focused on addressing longstanding issues that have hindered the efficient operation of the Nigerian forex markets. Key components include streamlining and unifying multiple exchange rates, promoting transparency, and reducing arbitrage opportunities. The governor emphasized on resolving fundamental issues, Sidi Ali stated, “The CBN’s focus is squarely on addressing the underlying challenges that have impeded the effective operation of the Nigerian FX markets over the years.” She expressed confidence that achieving a stable exchange rate would not only boost investor confidence but also attract foreign investment. “We believe that a stable exchange rate will bolster investor confidence and attract foreign investment,” she remarked. Sidi Ali urged all participants in the forex market to abide by the rules, emphasizing that transparency would facilitate a fair determination of exchange rates, ensuring stability for businesses and individuals alike. This $500 million injection by the CBN is the latest in a series of measures implemented in recent months, underscoring the central bank’s ongoing commitment to addressing the forex backlog and maintaining stability in the forex market.

Naira Depreciates To N827.83/$1 At Official Market

The naira again declined against the US dollar at the official market on Thursday, exchanging for N827.83 to one U.S dollar after a slight appreciation on Wednesday which saw the local currency exchanging at N818.99/$1. This is still a slight gain when compared to the N850.22 it recorded on Tuesday. However, the naira closed flat at the parallel forex market where forex is sold unofficially, the exchange rate closed at N1140/$1 as against the same N1140/$1 it quoted on Wednesday, representing 0.00 per cent, while peer-to-peer traders quoted around N1127.01/$1.  The intraday high recorded was N1100/$1, while the intraday low was N751.00/$1, representing a wide spread of N348.78/$1. Similarly, the naira also fell to the Euro, exchanging at N1,175/€1 at the parallel market, while it goes for N898.44/€1 at the official market. Also the pound sterling goes for N1,370 and N1029.7441 at the parallel and official market respectively. According to data obtained from the official NAFEM window, forex turnover at the close of the trading on Wednesday was $173.51 million, representing a 20.87 per cent increase compared to the previous day.  The local currency struggle at the foreign exchange market is coming on the heels of rising inflation in the country which saw the inflation rate jump to 27.33 per cent in October 2023 as prices of foodstuff continued to increase in the aftermath of the removal of fuel subsidy by the President Bola Tinubu administration. This was according to the October 2023 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Inflation Report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday. The CPI, which measures the changes in the prices of goods and services, rose from 26.72 per cent to 27.33 per cent showing an increase of 0.61 per cent points. “In October 2023, the headline inflation rate increased to 27.33 per cent relative to the September 2023 headline inflation rate which was 26.72 per cent,” the report partly read. “Looking at the movement, the October 2023 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.61 per cent points when compared to the September 2023 headline inflation rate. “Furthermore, on a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 6.24 per cent points higher compared to the rate recorded in October 2022, which was (21.09 per cent). “This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in October 2023 when compared to the same month in the preceding year (October 2022).”

Naira To Reach ‘Fair Value’ Of N750/$ By Year’s End – FG

The Federal Government is planning to introduce new foreign exchange rules — including a crackdown on illegal currency trading — that it hopes will result in the naira closing its more-than-45 per cent gap with the unofficial rate and reaching a “fair price” by year-end, a top official has said. The government plans to clear a backlog of dollar demand estimated at about $6.7 billion, bolster the naira forward market, and set transparent rules for the operations of the official market, Taiwo Oyedele, chair of the presidential committee on fiscal policy and tax reforms, said in an interview with Bloomberg. The government sees a “fair price” for the dollar at N650 to N750, Oyedele said. In the parallel market, it traded at N1,165 per dollar yesterday, already beginning to recede from the former high of about N1,130 to the dollar. The government plans to clear a backlog of dollar demand estimated at about $6.7 billion, bolster the naira forward market, and set transparent rules for the operations of the official market, Oyedele said. It also aims to expand the official market to include all legitimate transactions, while snuffing out the illicit “black market” for foreign currency, he said. “We think all of that will happen before December, and maybe in a matter of a couple of weeks we will begin to see the results, such that before the end of the calendar year, naira should find its true value, not the one that is being done currently in the parallel market,” Oyedele said.

Despite Slight Appreciation, Naira Still Weak – Report

In spite of the slight appreciation of the Naira at the weekend, the World Bank has listed Nigeria’s local currency as being among the worst-performing currencies in Sub-Saharan African in the first ten months of 2023. According to figures obtained from Aboki forex, the naira was bought and sold for 1,140/$ and 1,150/$1 at the weekend on the parallel section of the foreign exchange market as against the 1,310/$ on Thursday. Over the past two weeks, the Naira has been hitting new lows, as it sold as low as N1300/$ at the black market, and N848/$ at the official market. However, within the past few days, the currency has been on an upward swing, as it appreciated to N789.84/$ on Friday. But in a report by the World Bank the Nigerian Naira has posted a year-to-date depreciation of about 40 per cent, making it the weakest currency in Sub-Saharan Africa, alongside the Angolan Kwanza. Other currencies with significant losses include the South Sudanese pound which has depreciated by about 33 per cent YTD, the Burundian Franc which has depreciated by 27 per cent YTD, the Congolese Franc (18 per cent), Kenyan Shilling (16 per cent), Zambian Kwacha (12 per cent), Ghanaian Cedis (12 per cent), and Rwandan Franc (11 per cent). In the report, it highlighted that between March 2020 and June 2023, there was a widening disparity between the parallel market exchange rate and the official exchange rate. The disparity widened to as much as 80 per cent in November 2022 and dropped to 60 per cent in June 2023. The prioritization of strategic sectors and the imposed price ceilings and trade restrictions pushed transactions to the parallel market, which started to account for a large share of the foreign exchange transactions in the country, including for remittances, tourism, and exports of non-oil products. After the unification and liberalization of the exchange rates in June 2023, the NAFEX rate converged to the parallel one, closing the gap. However, resistance toward the increasing pressure on the Nigerian naira coupled with limited supply of FX at the official window has led to the reemergence of the parallel market premium. Figures obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria on movement of foreign reserves showed that the country’s external reserves recorded $76.82m accretion in one week, after it moved up from $33.249bn on October 19, 2023 to $33.326bn as of the end of October 26, 2023. It had earlier lost $841.75m in three months after it fell from $34.07bn as of July 7, 2023, to $33.23bn as of October 5, 2023. Meanwhile, an economist and Chief Executive Officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, attributed the naira appreciation to the Supreme Court judgment that brought finality to the litigation around the presidential election. He said the judgment removed uncertainty in the economy. “The pronouncement that the President made about efforts to boost the liquidity in the forex market may have also affected the level of confidence and influenced expectations because if people have expectations that liquidity will improve and the naira will appreciate, they would quickly begin to offload the dollars they have at a lower rate. “We need to seize the opportunity to push down the demand for foreign goods. We must reduce the demand for the dollars. We can have the naira appreciate better.”

Naira Hits All-Time N1065/$ Low, As BDC Operators Seek Urgent Reforms

The nation’s currency, the Naira, experienced a historic low on Wednesday in the parallel market, with the unofficial exchange rate reaching an unprecedented N1065 to the US dollar. On Tuesday, the Naira closed at N1060 to the dollar on the unofficial market, driven by a shortage of dollars, leading to a rapid depreciation of the currency. Additionally, the Naira weakened by 8.9 percent to N848.12 against the dollar in the official Investors and Exporters (I&E) forex market on Tuesday, according to data from FMDQ. Foreign exchange trades took place within the range of N700 to N981 per dollar, with the dollar’s trading volume surging to $133 million, according to an investment note by the Lagos-based investment banking firm Chapel Hill. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) had relaxed foreign exchange controls in mid-June following criticism of monetary policy measures by President Bola Tinubu and a pledge to end the multiple exchange rate regime. The official rate briefly aligned with the parallel market, plunging 40 percent, but the spread began to widen again. Until Tuesday, the official rate remained near N800 to the dollar, while the street rate surpassed N1,000 to a dollar. Foreign exchange operators attributed the Naira’s depreciation to persistent illiquidity in the market in the absence of central bank intervention. The widening premium between the official rate and the black market is a sign that the exchange rate has not found a clearing price. The Chairman of the Association of Bureau de Change Operators in Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe, explained that the Naira’s rapid devaluation is due to significant liquidity driving up demand for unavailable dollars in the market. He also pointed to uncertainties, loss of public and international confidence in the economy, rising inflation, and a low interbank market interest rate, which have reduced the appeal for alternative investments. Gwadabe recommended abolishing the I&E window and allowing willing buyers and sellers to dictate price mechanisms with legislative backing.