12.5kg Cooking Gas To Hit N18,000 By December —NALPGM

President of the Nigerian Association of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Marketers (NALPGM), Oladapo Olatunbosun has warned that the price of 12.5kg of cooking gas could go as high as N18,000 if the present scarcity persists. According to Olatunbosun, scarcity of the product is biting hard in Lagos and some other states in the country, noting that the scarcity has pushed up the price from the previous N900 per kilogram to as high as N1,400 in Lagos. He stated further that there is no justification for the current increase in refill prices. He said that stakeholders along the value chain were using the foreign exchange rate somersault as a reason to increase LPG prices, adding that 12.5kg refill prices could reach N18,000 by December 2023. “There is a ridiculous hike in gas prices going on right now, and I am afraid that if the federal government does not step in to checkmate the activities of these terminal owners, prices could reach as high as N18 million per metric ton by December. This means that a 12.5kg could go as high as N18,000″. The cost of LPG is tied to the exchange rate between the Naira and the Dollar. As the Naira weakens against the Dollar, it directly impacts the price of LPG. In just a year, the Naira weakened considerably against the Dollar, escalating from N565 to N1040 in October 2023. These shifts affect the price of LPG. Nigeria’s LPG market is supplied by both local production and imports. Local production covers a significant share, and imports bridge the supply gap. Nigeria’s Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) contributes about 40 per cent of LPG demand through domestic production. The remaining 60 per cent is imported. The price of a 12.5kg cylinder of cooking gas surged by 26 percent in two weeks to N15,000 from N11,850 owing to high global crude oil and gas prices and Nigeria’s forex crises. This recent surge will further squeeze cash-strapped consumers, erode their purchasing ability and amplify a cost of living crisis in Africa’s most populous nation. It will also accelerate October inflation when the figures are released. The World Bank, in its latest Nigeria Development Update report for June 2023, said the loss of purchasing power from high inflation has increased poverty in the short term, pushing an estimated four million Nigerians into poverty between January – May 2023. The global bank estimates based on the NBS data show that 89.8 million Nigerians fell below the poverty line at the start of 2023, with an additional four million making it 93.8 million in May of 2023.

Solid Minerals Will Be Nigeria’s Biggest Revenue Earner –Alake   

The Minister of Solid Minerals Development, Oladele Alake, has said the administration of Bola Ahmed Tinubu is committed to ensuring that the solid mineral sector becomes the biggest revenue generation hub of the country. He said for the present administration to achieve its vision of economic rejuvenation, all hands must be on deck. Alake said, “We have recognised the fortunes of the oil sector, and we are determined to ensure that the solid minerals sector is the Noah’s ark that would take us out of the deluge of economic challenges that Nigeria currently faces.” Speaking during the 22 Annual General Meeting and International Conference of The Nigerian Society of Mining Engineers in Kaduna, Minister Alake enjoined all the stakeholders to be patriotic, saying that the president is determined to take the nation out of the wood. Alake stated that the seven point agenda of the present administration is geared towards promoting the public private company that will galvanise financial and physical access of government in the sector. “It is now that our country needs patriotic and scientific contributions more than any other time, where all hands must be on deck to realise the vision of the Tinubu led administration, aiming at making solid minerals the biggest revenue generation hub among all sectors in the economic structure of Nigeria. “I wish to enjoin your society to be seen and heard in this historic process of rejuvenation and resurgence of the sector that will mature hitherto; our doors are open to ideas and proposals, and we shall re-evaluate all of them and shall reflect with our professional alacrity,” the minister said. Meanwhile, the Nigerian Society of Engineers said that Public Private Partnership (PPP) concession will make the private sector concessionaire responsible for full delivery of specified production and infrastructure services. “Government should intensify efforts in providing an enabling environment to attract investors into the mining sector for PPP agreement especially as it concerns fully explored strategic mineral deposits,” the Society advised. In its communiqué issued at the end of the AGM, the society tasked the federal government on Public Private Partnership, while also urging government and private investors to ensure due diligence before consummating any form of agreement. According to the communiqué, “the government should make deliberate efforts in implementing established roadmaps to fast- track the development of the minerals industry.” In the communiqué jointly signed by the President and Secretary General of the Society, Eng. Benson Jatau and Engineer Tony Ojile, enjoined the government to embrace PPP in its bids for industrial development in order to attract private expertise for service delivery enhancement. The duo however, called on the ministry of solid minerals development to as a matter of urgency resolve the challenge of state interference with the ministry statutory regulatory functions, as otherwise will erode the authority of the minister and also has the tendency of driving away private mining investors.

IMF Downgrades Nigeria’s Economic Growth By 2.9%

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Nigeria’s economic growth by 2.9 per cent for 2023. In July, the Fund had projected a 3.2 per cent growth for Nigeria in 2023. The lender however warned that the growth would be impacted by security issues in the oil sector. In its October World Economic Outlook with the themed, ‘Navigating Global Divergences,’ posted on its website Tuesday, the IMF said, “Growth in Nigeria is projected to decline from 3.3 per cent in 2022 to 2.9 per cent in 2023 and 3.1 per cent in 2024, with negative effects of high inflation on consumption taking hold. “The forecast for 2023 is revised downward by 0.3 percentage point, reflecting weaker oil and gas production than expected, partially as a result of maintenance work.” The International lender, while commenting on its new prediction for the country, said: “ For the sub-Saharan African region, growth is expected to decline to 3.3 per cent in 2023 due to worsening weather shocks, the global slowdown, and domestic supply issues, the IMF said.  However, growth would pick up by 2024 to 4.0 per cent in 2024, which is still below the region’s historical average of 4.8 per cent. It also stated that global economic growth was projected to slow from 3.5 per cent in 2022 to 3.0 per cent in 2023 and 2.9 per cent in 2024, well below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 per cent, the IMF declared. “Advanced economies are expected to slow from 2.6 per cent in 2022 to 1.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.4 per cent in 2024 as policy tightening starts to bite. Emerging market and developing economies are projected to have a modest decline in growth from 4.1 per cent in 2022 to 4.0 per cent in both 2023 and 2024″, the IMF said. The global financial institute stated that global inflation is expected to decelerate to 6.9 per cent in 2023 and 5.8 per cent in 2024 from the present 8.7 per cent in 2022.